Thursday 22 March 2012

5 Things We Learnt From Watching Football This Week - Week Twenty Nine

1. Scott Dann is key to Blackburn staying up.
For all the goals of Yakubu and Junior Hoilett (the two have scored over half the teams total between them) it is at the back where Blackburn have improved of late. Key to that has been the return from injury of Scott Dann. With Samba disappearing on a boat of money to the Russian leagues, many people thought Steve Kean’s days were even more numbered than they already were. Instead the team has rallied, claiming back to back wins for the first time and kept not one, but two clean sheets. Dann is still young and probably still deserves to be playing at a bigger club. He was imperious for a season with Roger Johnson at Birmingham before injury disrupted their partnership. With his former partner currently benched for his crimes and left to watch helplessly as Wolves give everyone an example at how not to defend, Dann has quietly got back on with his business again. If Blackburn are to stay up, they will need his leadership at the back along with the goals of the Yak to do so. Thankfully for Steve Kean, both men have now given him a genuine chance of that being a reality.

2. Liverpool might not need new players, but a new manager.
When Kenny returned to the Premiership last year it was seen as the return of a hero. One of Liverpool’s greatest every players, already a successful manager who many had thought quit the art too soon. Initially Kenny was jovial, laid back and looked like he had all the credentials to succeed again. Over the months however, that veneer has slowly been peeled away to reveal a man on the edge. A man who has stood behind a racist, who has made terrible transfer decisions, has rotated for rotations sake and looks tactically naive at the highest level. Liverpool sit in 7th, with no real belief that they will finish any higher and are in danger of being labelled simply “a cup team”. Which is at least better than being say Aston Villa, who are merely labelled “a team.” This week, to add to the numerously mystifying statements that Kenny has come out with over the past year, the former “King” claimed that his new signings “had done fantastically well... if anyone is going to come in they will have to be a hell of player to do better than what they have done.” Really Kenny? I, like many in football who aren’t now completely insane, see it slightly differently. For somebody to be better than Andy Carroll they will have to score around 6 goals... and not cost 35million. For somebody to be better than Stuart Downing they will to create or score a single goal during their first six months with the club. For somebody to be better than Luiz Suarez they will ideally have a better strike conversion rate than 0.000003% and not be banned for a quarter of the season for racially abusing other players. For somebody to be better than Jordan Henderson... they will have to be alive. Winning both cups may be seen as a success to Liverpool fans, but Champions League football and competing seriously for the title has to be the aim of a club of this stature. You can say what you like about Rafa Benetiz, but right now he still looks a much better manager than Daglish and Liverpool could do worse than ask him back for another stab. Especially as they now seem to have money to waste spend.

3. Adel Taarabt isn’t good enough for the top flight.
Last season Adel Taarabt was the man for Queens Park Rangers as they stormed to the League Championship. He scored or created over 30 goals, won the player of the year award and, as captain, looked well set to fulfil his potential. The close season didn’t go brilliantly for him however. Taarabt didn’t so much have his head turned, but try and turn the heads of everyone else with some strange and arrogant statements such as “I know I’m good enough to play for the top 4 in Spain and I know that they want me.” As it was, nobody wanted him and Taarabt started the season poorly, before playing even worse around Christmas and then briefly progressing back up to poor again. Last night Taarabt secured only his second assist of the campaign. He hasn’t scored all season, having had more shots than anyone else in the division with the same number. He has played for 1450 minutes, often as the main creator in his team and has scored or assisted no goals. That is a damning stat for a man who could “walk into the Arsenal team” and a key reason why QPR are where they are in the league. Perhaps last night’s result will spur him on to greater things. But when Jamie Mackie looks twice the player you do you’re in trouble. Michael Brown, Michael Tongue, Darren Huckerby, David Nugent, Ebanks-Blake – there is a long list of top Championship players who just couldn’t cut it higher up the ladder. Taarabt is going to have to do something pretty special next season if his name isn’t going to be joining that list.

4. The Tevez sideshow isn’t going away.
You have to give Manchester City credit, when Chelsea and Jose burst onto the screen, buying everything in sight, winning all the time and generally being bastards they were just so fucking boring about it. City on the other hand, are pure box office. With rapid infighting, wildly inconsistent form, sumptuous attacking play and two strikers with massive personality disorders, City have thrilled us all season in a series of dramatic “what will they do next” scenarios. Yesterday, following on from a first half performance from Balotelli that could be politely described as “casual,” Tevez came on for his first appearance since Munich. Many thought he would never play in a City shirt again, but given nobody else in the world can afford his exorbitant wages, it was always likely that this moment was going to come. Now City need him more than ever. Within 5 minutes he had chased down two balls and won back possession, before supplying the telling assist for Nasri’s wonderful finish. Regardless of whether Tevez drives City on to the title though, this is a team that remains on the edge in every way. Roberto Mancini has the best team and squad in the league by an embarrassing distance and Hansen’s statement that if the managers of the two Manchester clubs changed jobs the gap would be 20 points is pretty damning. The Italian has to get the team back on his side regardless of what happens come May. For my money, for all their entertainment, that should probably mean both Super Mario and Crazy Carlos moving on...

5. Spurs are in real danger of finishing 5th.
A month is a long time in football and at the start of the last one, Jermaine Defoe was just an inch away from winning the game at Manchester City to take Spurs 2 points off the summit of the Premier League. They would have been unbeaten in 20 games and were playing the best attacking football in the division. As it was, he missed and City went up the other end and bought a penalty. Since then, Spurs have won just twice in eight matches and have been hammered by Arsenal in the process. A 12 point cushion over their North London rivals has been eaten away to them being 1 point behind; a scenario that seemed completely implausible 6 weeks ago. In the current Premier League form table, Liverpool and Spurs occupy 16th and 17th with only the current bottom three beneath them. Whatever truth there is in Harry’s head being turned by the England job is now irrelevant. Redknapp has trimmed his squad to the bare bones and then seen injuries disrupt his rhythm. It’s easy to manage a top club when the best XI are all fighting fit, the true skill comes in using all the players in the best way over a season. Sticking Luca Modric on the left wing and Gareth Bale in the number 10 role aren’t the way to do that. A three year old with a dusty subbuteo set could give you that information ‘Arry. The good news for Spurs fans is that 7/8 of their last 9 fixtures look very winnable and they still sit four points ahead of Chelsea, who could implode again at any moment. The bad news? The next game is away to Chelsea this Saturday. Lose that and 5th isn’t just a possibility, it’s a likelihood. 

Monday 12 March 2012

5 Things We Learnt From Watching Football This Weekend - Week Twenty Eight

1. Relegation could be full of justice this year.
We all have our favourites for relegation, but this year there have been some truly haunting decisions that look set to bite one or two clubs squarely in the backside. Two months ago I’d have pretty much bet everything I had on Blackburn, Bolton & Wigan all getting relegated. Whilst that might still happen, it’s looking increasingly more likely that at least one of Wolves & QPR will join them. Given the likeability of all the managers at the first three clubs, I’m hopeful that both will drop into the Championship and be left to rue the wisdom of sacking their managers when they were in better positions than they are now. If QPR’s decision to sack Warnock was harsh, Wolves sacking of McCarthy, only to employ his inexperienced assistant smacks of genuine madness. Few people will now mourn both being relegated, more so given how far Mark Hughes’ stock in the game has dropped since his time at Manchester City. Elsewhere, much as a part of me really wants Blackburn to stay up solely because of Steve Kean, it’s hard to cheer for a team whose supporters club released this statement following the win at the weekend. “If Steve Kean keeps us up, it will be nothing to do with any good work that he has done. It will solely be down to there being three teams who have been worse than us. We want Kean out. We want Venkys out. We want our club back.” You can have it back chap(s), but ideally in the Championship with Keano moving to take the helm of Spurs...

2. Can Moyes dethrone the King?
A pivotal week beckons for Liverpool and their leader after yet another non-performance from their expensive flops this weekend. Moyes doesn’t have a great record in derby’s but his Everton team are playing as they always seem to do this time of year, full of strength, heart and energy. Lord knows what they’d be capable of if they could just start a season. For Liverpool the chances of getting 4th are not just disappearing but becoming virtually invisible. Whilst cup success will probably ensure the doubters don’t start harassing King Kenny just yet, he has never been under more pressure since returning. Liverpool just look a spectacularly average team, solid at the back and well organised but lacking any coherency, creativity or guile. Only Enrique can be considered a successful signing since Kenny returned, with Suarez’s reputation now firmly on the rocks following Evragate and a strike conversion rate of 0.03%. With Everton at home and QPR away this is a monster week for Liverpool. Win both and they remain in the hunt for the top six and at least a Europa spot. Win neither and by the time I write this blog next week they could conceivably be 12th. And that is not a typo...

3. Is it time to start praising Jonny Evans?
I’ve given Evans my fair share of stick in the past, mainly because he looks like a Sunday league player and doesn’t seem able to shut his mouth when he runs. But since Vidic got injured Evans has got better each and every game and has formed a defensive partnership with Rio Ferdinand that is exactly that. In the 20 games he’s started in the Premier League this season Evans has lost just once. That game was against Man City, where he got sent off and Utd utterly collapsed. He has kept 10 clean sheets in that time, which is a pretty amazing record whichever way you look at it. More pleasingly though is the way that Evans has grown in confidence enough to start bringing the ball out of defence and leading the line at set pieces. It’s not uncommon for defenders to take a couple more years to fully mature than attackers and Evans, whilst still a fair distance away from the finished article, is finally starting to look a player. If Utd do win the league, he will almost certainly have been the clubs most consistent defender over the course of the season. He still looks likely to fall over twice a game, but for now he deserves some praise. After all, it’s not his fault he isn’t as good as Gerard Pique...

4. Swansea are no ugly ducklings.
Man City not scoring at Swansea yesterday shouldn’t have been a shock. The Welsh side have lost just two games at home all season and have only conceded in three matches. Rodgers team play lovely passing football but unlike other Premiership newcomers they really know how to defend. They have also been helped by the signing of Michel Vorm, who tends to save the shots that do get through with such regularity that he must be a massive shout for signing of the season. Second syndrome season is the fear for Swansea but for my money, providing they keep hold of Rodgers, they look here to stay. Previous victims of dramatic falls from grace like Hull, Ipswich, Reading & Blackpool all looked like they were punching above their weight, often relying on goals to win matches rather than solid defending. Swansea have played the top 6 at home this season and won 6-5 on aggregate whilst dominating possession. They are organised and resilient as well as pleasing to watch. Brendan Rodgers is a fine manager, warming himself to me yet further this week with his comments about the Chelsea job (“I’m interested in improving my career, not ruining it”). The only negative thing about the club right now is how little recognition some of their English players have been getting. Whilst the likes of Oxlaide-Chamberlain and Cleverly only have to sneeze to get an international cap, surely the likes of Dyer, Sinclair, Graham and the superb Leon Britton deserve at least a mention? No? Maybe people think they’re all Welsh...

5. City are in danger of imploding.
For my money Manchester City haven’t played well for three months. In that time they have limped out of every cup competition, won barely a single away game and have kept just about on track thanks to an imperious home record and a run of kind fixtures. On Sunday they finally lost the lead in the title race, which looked inconceivable as little as a month ago. Utd have had a far, far tougher last six fixtures but have outscored and outfought City over that period to arrive at the summit looking downwards once more. The problem for City has been very simple, they have stopped scoring. Balotelli may be hilariously entertaining off the pitch, but he owes his manager some big performances on it. Dseko seems to have been discarded, Tevez isn’t fit and surely can’t be relied on and Aguero has hit a sticky patch. City need to play their best team and find their early season fluency again before the inevitable infighting comes back to haunt them. Whether Mancini will survive coming 2nd is a mystery which could probably do with being clarified. Even if they do fail this season City need stability and consistency to go again next year. Getting rid of the Italian makes no sense whatsoever and a statement that he will be there next season regardless would probably help City’s cause. Seeing one of their fans weeping as Swansea scored yesterday says it all about how City are always expected to fail at the final hurdle. Mancini is in an impossible situation whereby even if they win the league they will have done it with all the money in the world against the most average Utd team in recent memory. Still, money can’t buy you Alex Ferguson... and thankfully it didn’t buy them Wayne “one man team” Rooney either.

Monday 5 March 2012

5 Things We Learnt From Watching Football This Weekend - Week Twenty Seven

1. Roman’s Bridge is falling down.
After sacking Carlo Ancelotti last summer, Roman Abramovich turned not to an old, experienced head, but to the young and relatively unproven talent of Andre Villas Boas. It was a big gamble, more so given he paid a £13m release clause to prise him away. The aim? To turn Chelsea back in to the super power they had been, er one year previously, whilst reducing the wage bill and the age of the squad and playing attacking, attractive football. Barely 6 months later and AVB has been axed. Chelsea lie in 5th place and their Champions League life hangs by a thread; but they remain 3 points shy of a fragile and unpredictable Arsenal and in an FA Cup shorn already of the best two teams. Whether AVB could have rallied will now be yet another of this seasons what if’s, as Roberto Di Matteo, sacked by West Brom around this time last season now finds himself in charge of a team of overpaid veterans gunning for one final stint at glory. Regardless of player power and position (it’s not like they’re 12th) – it’s hard to see this as anything but another ridiculous decision from the Russian. Why coax such a young manager at such expense, let him talk openly of his “three year plan” and the just get rid of him at the first sign he might not qualify for the Champions League? A feat, it has to be said, that is now harder than ever with the “big four” having been replaced by a “big six… and Newcastle.” It is not Villas Boas’ fault that Fernando Torres is now the worst striker in English football, suffering such a fall from grace that there is now no equal example anywhere in the game for a striker in their peak. It’s not his fault that most of his “star players,” so wonderful under Mourinho, are now six or seven years older than that period and suffering from injuries, age and fatigue. It’s also not his fault that David Luiz is only a marginally better player than Zat Knight… although AVB does have to take some blame for picking him to try and lead his defence week in week out despite a blind man being able to tell him it’s not working. No. The simple fact is that Chelsea are a crumbling empire, lacking the ability to regenerate like Utd, the history and the fanbase of Liverpool, the wealth of Man City or the security and sustainability of Arsenal. Barring another £70-80m spree, it is hard to see how any manager would guide Chelsea to higher than 4th next season and that is likely to be the case for a good few years. Why not bite the bullet, stick with AVB and the young players he’d brought in and see where you are then? I suppose, because when it actually comes down to it, Roman Abramovich is just a fucking muppet.

2. Spurs need to give up even trying.
Statistically, the most bankable fixture in the Premier League is Man Utd v Spurs. It has now been 25 games since a win for any Spurs team stretching back over 11 years. They have been 2 nil up, 3 nil up even in that time… and lost. They’ve scored perfectly legitimate goals… and seen them not given. They’ve watched their strikers go clean through and been hauled down… and seen yellow cards. They’ve witnessed Utd tumble in the box… and seen instant penalties. Whatever the reason, after another 90 minutes playing the Champions off the park (complete with obligatory harsh decision) before the inevitable breakaway goals come; it’s now best for everybody concerned if Spurs just don’t bother turning up for this fixture anymore. This year, the league even recruited Ferguson’s most hated referee. Martin Atkinson himself, Utd’s nemesis who had given EVERY decision against them for three consecutive seasons at Stamford Bridge. It wasn’t enough. Utd didn’t even try for most of the game. It wasn’t enough. Rooney didn’t break a sweat, playing the second half at walking pace in the centre circle. It still wasn’t enough. Jonny Evans was probably the man of the match. I mean seriously guys, give it up…

3. Pogs are back in fashion.
Does anyone remember Pogs? A sub marbles game of little skill that inexplicably took the 90’s by storm thanks entirely to a brilliant marketing strategy. It didn’t last very long… and it was shit. But some 20 years on Fulham fans are chanting the Pog song (no really) again in honour of the deadline deal that everybody missed. Pavel Pogrebnyak arrived from VfB Stuttgart on a short term deal which saw Bobby Zamora make the move to QPR. All the talk was of Zamora leaving and what he might bring to QPR, but so far it looks like Fulham have secured one of the deals of any January Window by bringing in a player that looks tailor made to survive in the Premiership. Strong, good in the air and with excellent feet, Pogrebnyak has scored five goals in his first three games and Fulham have won every match. His finishing on Sunday was exemplary and he was involved in everything that that the team did. With him, the increasingly superb Dembele and the “not at all on drugs honest” Clint Dempsey, Fulham have three wonderful attacking players that are making Craven Cottage one of the best places to watch football again.

4. The Handball Law... can everybody please learn it.
The only thing more irritating right now than referees giving handballs almost every time a ball grazes an arm in the box, is pundits and commentators thinking it’s the correct decision. Last night new lows were reached as Shearer, Dixon and Murray stated that the wording of the law clearly used the term “deliberate,” only to then argue that penalties should be given anyway when a ball hits an out stretched arm in the box. Just because referees keep getting it wrong doesn’t make it right. If a player belts a ball into the box and it deflects off somebody’s arm it’s NOT a penalty. If somebody miss controls it and it bobbles up onto the arm it’s NOT a penalty. If Luiz Suarez dives on the line and palms it away with his hand... it’s a fucking penalty. The situation is now getting increasingly more stupid with no consistency in the decision making and no amendment being made to the law itself. Despite what Alan Shearer thinks, the law doesn’t need to be amended; it just needs to be adhered to. It would help referees if pundits and managers stopped crying bloody murder the second the ball hits an arm. There are far too many “grey” areas in football at the moment and this, along with the continued non punishment for play acting, is right up there amongst the more infuriating.

5. The FA could really have handled this better…
Following the debacle of the John Terry/Fabio Capello situation, the FA have done nothing to reassure the nation that they have any idea what they’re doing when it comes to planning the long, or short term future of the national football side. Literally… they have done nothing. With a country clamouring for Del Boy Harry Redknapp to take the reins, they have not contacted him or anybody else about the position before feebly announcing they would maybe, if they have the time, take a look at it come season end. Apart from leaving whoever comes in precisely no time to plan a squad or adequate coaching set up, the question has to be asked why that statement wasn’t made as soon as Capello left? At least then Redknapp and other managers could just get on with their jobs without being contacted by the media every five minutes about what they think of it all. Because of this mess we had to witness the beyond haunting spectacle of Alan “anti-christ” Pardew coming out and saying he “didn’t want the job” like THERE WAS A FUCKING CHANCE OF HIM ACTUALLY FUCKING GETTING IT! Unforgivable FA. Just give it to Harry now so we can get this fucking latest experiment out of the way and finally move onto someone who might build a legacy for our national team after the tax dodger has failed. As it is, I for one won’t be watching as “Lamps,” “Stevie G,” Rio and fucking Scholesy’s knackered legs get ran ragged by teams infinitely better organised and talented than ours come June…